Conversion by tenure (the smile graph)

• Metric

  Average order value with revenue quality

  order value net of discounts and refunds

  Average order value after discounts and refunds, read with discount dependence and refund rate as its quality checks. The Pay health metric for stores.

• Metric

  Cancellations within 30 days

  early cancels after starting to pay

  Share of new subscribers who cancel within 30 days. A revenue-quality guardrail that catches conversions bought with pressure; it can't be judged before it matures.

• Metric

  Checkout completion

  started checkouts that finish

  Orders divided by checkout starts. About 45% is typical and 66% is top-decile in store data; around 70% of carts are abandoned across studies. Anxiety reducers and all-in pricing act here.

• Metric

  Discount dependence

  share of orders that needed a discount

  Share of orders (or first payments) that used a discount code. Rising dependence means discounts are buying orders that full price wouldn't, and those buyers tend to leave when the discount ends.

• Metric

  First-seen vs final price gap

  does the final price match the first one shown

  Final checkout total divided by the first price shown for the same item or plan, plus the share of sessions where the final price is higher. Target: a ratio of 1 and no sessions worsening. The default guardrail on pricing pages and at checkout.

• Metric

  Freemium to paid within six months

  free accounts that start paying

  Share of free (freemium) accounts that start paying within six months. Self-serve B2B freemium medians sit around 3-5%; sales assistance roughly doubles it. Gate depth, never the core loop.

Sources

• Hooked · Nir Eyal

  Ch.1

Source IDs: HK-MEA11 · HK-MON01

Book content is paraphrased, never quoted at length. Last verified October 24, 2026.