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Technique · Influence

Accurate popularity cues

Show popularity only as it really is: "Most popular" on the plan most chosen, a defined count of active teams, "copied 3,400 times" on a template. People treat what many others do as a sign of what is right, so a true count helps the uncertain; an inflated one invites distrust once noticed.

Evidence grade B. Moderate evidence: solid studies with some limits.DiscoverPay

Plain label: true "most popular" labels and usage countsAlso known as: most popular badge, usage count, popularity claim, social proof count, descriptive norm

How it works

When people are unsure, they look at what others do and assume the common choice is the sensible one; the more people, the stronger the cue. Popularity claims work as a shortcut in place of quality proof, which is why they must be accurate and defined. A "most popular" badge on the highest-margin item, or cumulative sign-ups shown as active users, turns a useful shortcut into a source of regret.

In the book. We judge what is correct partly by what others do, and advertisers lean on claims of being the largest-selling or fastest-growing (Ch.4, pp.88, 90). INF-T-SP-04 (Influence Ch.4, p.90)

In a product [S]. Use popularity cues only with live data and a stated definition.

Evidence Evidence grade B. Moderate evidence: solid studies with some limits.. Descriptive norms shift behavior in many field studies, with failed replications in some settings.

Evidence warning

What the research says

  • Hotel guests told that most guests reuse their towels reused them more than guests shown an environmental appeal (44% vs 35% in the first experiment).

    Goldstein, Cialdini & Griskevicius, Journal of Consumer Research, 2008

  • A German replication of the hotel towel study did not find the descriptive-norm advantage.

    Bohner & Schlüter, PLoS ONE, 2014

  • UK tax reminder letters saying that most people pay on time increased on-time payment in a large field experiment.

    Hallsworth, List, Metcalfe & Vlaev, Journal of Public Economics, 2017

Before you start

  • Live data behind every count and badge, with a written definition (for example "active in the last 30 days")

How to build it

Web
Put "Most popular" on the plan most new customers actually chose last quarter, recomputed automatically, with a tooltip that explains how.
E-commerce
Show "Bought 1,200 times this month" from order data, with the time window stated.
B2B
On the landing page, state a defined count ("4,100 teams active this month") instead of an undated cumulative total.

What can go wrong

  • A "most popular" badge placed for margin, not for choice.
  • Cumulative sign-ups presented as active users.
  • Counts so low they signal the opposite ("3 people bought this").

Pairs well with

  • Pairs with in-t-sp-17: popularity among people like the visitor is stronger.
  • Pairs with in-t-sp-12: place the count at the point of doubt.

In practice

Where it shows up

  • Booking.com · 2019

    Round

    Booking.com: urgency claims meet regulators

    Feb 6, 2019: Booking.com, Expedia, Hotels.com, Agoda, ebookers and trivago committed to the UK CMA to stop false availability or popularity claims and pressure selling by Sept 1, 2019. EU-wide commitments followed (2019-2020). In Sept 2019, Which? found 5 of 10 checked claims misleading.

    M4 ×DiscoverPay
    Case grade for the number: A. Evidence grade for the mechanism link: C.
  • Instagram (Meta) · 2021

    Round

    Instagram: hiding likes, then letting people choose

    May 26, 2021: hiding like counts became optional on Instagram and Facebook. Meta said hiding counts helped some people and frustrated others, partly because people use likes to spot what is trending. No quantitative results were published.

    M4 ×Return
    Case grade for the number: B. Evidence grade for the mechanism link: C.Company-reported
  • Robinhood · 2024

    Round

    Robinhood: confetti on trades

    Confetti removed March 31, 2021. Jan 18, 2024: a $7.5M settlement with Massachusetts securities regulators over gamified features (confetti, digital scratch tickets, free stock, push notifications, popularity lists), barring celebratory imagery tied to trading for Massachusetts accounts. Robinhood neither admitted nor denied those allegations.

    M3-M4 ×StartReturn
    Case grade for the number: A. Evidence grade for the mechanism link: D.Analyst inference
  • Hotel field experiment (Goldstein, Cialdini & Griskevicius) · 2008

    Round

    The hotel towel study: “guests in this room”

    Experiment 1: 44.1% towel reuse with the descriptive norm vs 35.1% with the environmental appeal. Experiment 2: the same-room norm reached 49.3% vs 42.8% for the other norm messages combined, and the standard message 37.2%. Peer-reviewed field experiments.

    Start
    Case grade for the number: A. Evidence grade for the mechanism link: A.

Limits

What we don’t claim

Sources

  • Influence · Robert Cialdini

    Ch.4, p.90 · Ch.4, p.88

  • A room with a viewpoint: using social norms to motivate environmental conservation in hotels · Journal of Consumer Research, 2008

    Evidence grade B. Moderate evidence: solid studies with some limits.
  • A room with a viewpoint revisited: descriptive norms and hotel guests' towel reuse behavior · PLoS ONE, 2014

Source IDs: INF-T-SP-04

Book content is paraphrased, never quoted at length. Last verified October 24, 2026.

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